All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
Valley Kickoff |
John Cleland Early Bird (4k) |
Marion County |
Brownsburg Invitational |
Eagle Classic |
Ben Davis Invitational |
Flashrock Invitational |
Metro Interscholastic Conference |
North Central JV |
North Central (Indpls) Sectional |
Brownsburg Regional |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | | |
8/17 |
8/23 |
8/30 |
9/6 |
9/13 |
9/13 |
9/20 |
9/27 |
10/8 |
10/18 |
10/25 |
11/1 |
| Team Rating |
250 | |
303 |
291 |
280 |
233 |
238 |
812 |
292 |
237 |
845 |
244 |
245 |
249 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
261 |
255 |
250 |
233 |
226 |
250 |
292 |
237 |
321 |
244 |
245 |
249 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
Valley Kickoff |
John Cleland Early Bird (4k) |
Marion County |
Brownsburg Invitational |
Eagle Classic |
Ben Davis Invitational |
Flashrock Invitational |
Metro Interscholastic Conference |
North Central JV |
North Central (Indpls) Sectional |
Brownsburg Regional |
State Finals |
|---|
| 50 |
Keagan Terry |
11 |
16:10 |
16:15 |
16:17 |
16:02 |
16:11 |
16:06 |
15:59 |
|
16:20 |
16:11 |
|
16:14 |
16:04 |
16:08 |
| 65 |
Gus Phillips |
12 |
16:17 |
16:16 |
16:23 |
|
16:15 |
16:08 |
16:20 |
|
16:12 |
16:13 |
|
16:19 |
16:23 |
16:17 |
| 138 |
Charlie Cromer |
11 |
16:41 |
17:02 |
|
17:27 |
|
16:41 |
|
|
16:32 |
16:38 |
|
16:42 |
16:40 |
16:39 |
| 151 |
Grant Hostettler |
12 |
16:43 |
16:35 |
|
17:35 |
17:51 |
17:15 |
|
|
18:35 |
17:24 |
17:41 |
16:37 |
16:35 |
17:06 |
| 158 |
Owen Pritchard |
9 |
16:44 |
|
17:00 |
16:51 |
16:55 |
16:39 |
16:32 |
|
17:30 |
16:31 |
|
|
16:52 |
16:37 |
| 199 |
Max Frank |
12 |
16:52 |
16:48 |
17:08 |
|
16:34 |
16:45 |
16:41 |
|
|
17:40 |
|
16:40 |
16:52 |
16:55 |
| 242 |
Dawson Pikus |
11 |
16:59 |
17:05 |
16:43 |
16:51 |
17:08 |
16:52 |
17:15 |
|
16:56 |
16:52 |
|
17:04 |
16:57 |
16:59 |
| 273 |
Zeke Frank |
10 |
17:06 |
17:37 |
17:20 |
16:53 |
|
16:57 |
17:06 |
|
17:42 |
16:53 |
|
|
|
|
| 279 |
Gibson Scott |
10 |
17:07 |
17:22 |
|
|
17:09 |
17:00 |
17:17 |
|
|
17:05 |
|
|
|
|
| 313 |
Lewis Mandel |
11 |
17:13 |
18:17 |
17:10 |
16:41 |
17:25 |
17:12 |
17:16 |
|
17:14 |
|
|
|
|
|
| 404 |
Finn Comeford Bernett |
10 |
17:26 |
18:25 |
17:36 |
17:15 |
|
17:19 |
|
17:28 |
17:20 |
17:40 |
|
17:21 |
|
|
| 490 |
Noah Rodgers |
9 |
17:35 |
|
17:05 |
17:14 |
17:27 |
17:31 |
|
17:49 |
|
17:54 |
|
|
|
|
| 838 |
Malcolm Cruz |
12 |
18:08 |
18:21 |
17:45 |
17:57 |
|
17:55 |
|
18:30 |
20:06 |
18:15 |
|
|
|
|
| 885 |
Madison Hamilton |
9 |
18:12 |
|
18:12 |
18:08 |
18:14 |
18:16 |
|
18:12 |
18:00 |
18:18 |
18:08 |
|
|
|
| 932 |
Dylan Burke |
9 |
18:17 |
|
18:44 |
18:11 |
18:18 |
18:13 |
|
18:30 |
18:09 |
18:18 |
18:00 |
|
|
|
| 1,038 |
Quinn McCann |
10 |
18:24 |
18:42 |
18:19 |
18:15 |
|
18:22 |
|
18:14 |
18:25 |
18:40 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,070 |
Colin Scales |
9 |
18:27 |
|
|
18:38 |
18:34 |
18:47 |
|
18:31 |
18:27 |
18:21 |
18:01 |
|
|
|
| 1,361 |
Kaleb Franke |
10 |
18:52 |
|
18:51 |
18:39 |
|
18:35 |
|
18:44 |
19:30 |
18:56 |
18:49 |
|
|
|
|
Jackson Rodgers |
9 |
19:12 |
|
19:15 |
19:32 |
18:48 |
18:43 |
|
19:42 |
19:35 |
19:07 |
19:04 |
|
|
|
|
Alex Denault |
11 |
19:18 |
|
19:33 |
19:25 |
|
19:12 |
19:57 |
|
19:18 |
19:14 |
18:53 |
|
|
|
|
Ethan Juarez |
9 |
19:21 |
|
19:59 |
19:55 |
18:57 |
19:25 |
|
19:33 |
19:39 |
19:05 |
18:55 |
|
|
|
|
Matt Ridder |
12 |
19:57 |
|
20:16 |
19:42 |
|
19:55 |
16:54 |
|
21:35 |
20:05 |
21:08 |
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| State Finals |
94.5% |
11.3 |
315 |
|
0.2 |
0.5 |
1.7 |
2.9 |
4.3 |
4.9 |
7.0 |
7.7 |
9.5 |
9.9 |
9.9 |
8.8 |
8.8 |
7.5 |
4.9 |
3.3 |
1.7 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
3.3 |
115 |
10.1 |
19.4 |
24.8 |
29.6 |
10.6 |
4.1 |
1.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
1.9 |
40 |
20.6 |
66.3 |
13.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Keagan Terry |
99.9% |
47.9 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
1.4 |
1.5 |
1.0 |
98.5% |
99.9% |
| Gus Phillips |
99.7% |
64.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
94.5% |
99.6% |
| Charlie Cromer |
94.9% |
133.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
6.6% |
67.3% |
| Grant Hostettler |
94.7% |
140.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3.3% |
59.7% |
| Owen Pritchard |
94.7% |
142.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2.9% |
58.1% |
| Max Frank |
94.6% |
167.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.7% |
31.7% |
| Dawson Pikus |
94.6% |
184.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.4% |
13.9% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Keagan Terry |
100% |
9.1 |
1.3 |
2.8 |
3.7 |
5.1 |
6.1 |
6.5 |
7.5 |
7.9 |
8.4 |
8.0 |
7.4 |
6.1 |
5.9 |
5.4 |
4.2 |
3.6 |
2.4 |
2.0 |
1.4 |
1.2 |
0.8 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Gus Phillips |
100% |
12.7 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
1.1 |
1.8 |
2.6 |
3.2 |
3.6 |
4.5 |
6.1 |
6.5 |
7.5 |
7.3 |
7.0 |
6.6 |
6.5 |
6.2 |
5.5 |
4.0 |
4.0 |
3.9 |
2.6 |
1.6 |
1.3 |
1.1 |
1.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Charlie Cromer |
100% |
29.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
1.1 |
1.4 |
2.5 |
2.9 |
2.7 |
3.1 |
3.5 |
3.8 |
3.5 |
3.6 |
|
100.0% |
| Grant Hostettler |
100% |
32.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
1.1 |
1.5 |
1.7 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
2.4 |
2.8 |
3.0 |
3.7 |
3.4 |
|
100.0% |
| Owen Pritchard |
100% |
33.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
1.5 |
2.1 |
2.0 |
2.3 |
2.9 |
2.8 |
2.8 |
3.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Max Frank |
100% |
43.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
0.7 |
1.0 |
1.1 |
1.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Dawson Pikus |
100% |
53.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Keagan Terry |
2.2 |
15.0 |
30.0 |
21.9 |
16.8 |
9.7 |
3.7 |
1.5 |
0.7 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Gus Phillips |
3.6 |
3.3 |
11.6 |
22.3 |
20.1 |
20.4 |
12.4 |
4.9 |
2.0 |
1.3 |
0.6 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Charlie Cromer |
9.6 |
|
|
0.2 |
1.2 |
3.6 |
7.0 |
10.1 |
11.2 |
10.9 |
9.2 |
8.4 |
8.0 |
6.6 |
5.3 |
5.0 |
3.5 |
3.2 |
2.5 |
1.7 |
1.2 |
0.7 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.0 |
|
| Grant Hostettler |
10.6 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.8 |
1.9 |
4.7 |
8.2 |
9.5 |
9.3 |
9.9 |
8.8 |
7.5 |
7.3 |
6.3 |
5.8 |
4.9 |
4.1 |
3.7 |
2.7 |
2.3 |
1.2 |
0.6 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
| Owen Pritchard |
10.9 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.8 |
1.9 |
4.5 |
6.7 |
8.7 |
9.6 |
9.6 |
9.0 |
8.3 |
6.9 |
6.4 |
5.9 |
4.8 |
4.3 |
4.4 |
3.7 |
2.1 |
1.3 |
0.6 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
| Max Frank |
15.1 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
1.5 |
2.9 |
3.8 |
5.4 |
6.0 |
6.6 |
7.1 |
6.9 |
8.1 |
7.9 |
7.9 |
7.5 |
7.0 |
7.2 |
6.0 |
3.8 |
2.0 |
0.8 |
0.3 |
| Dawson Pikus |
18.5 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
0.9 |
1.7 |
2.5 |
3.3 |
4.0 |
5.1 |
6.1 |
6.3 |
7.1 |
8.2 |
8.6 |
11.0 |
12.7 |
9.2 |
6.5 |
3.3 |
1.5 |
|
